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Nasdaq 100 · Multiplicative Contribution by Extremes

Nasdaq 100 Compounding: Magnified Impact of Tail Days

Nasdaq 100 Extreme Day Multiplier — The disproportionate multiplicative impact of outlier gain and loss trading days on Nasdaq 100 capital growth.

The plate

Nasdaq 100 · Multiplicative Contribution by Extremes — Nasdaq 100 Compounding: Magnified Impact of Tail Days50D4,068%50D935%6,567D2%30D-80%30D-91%
Plate II.5 [Ex-post attribution, not timing advice] Tracing $1 from 2000: the top 50 days propel capital to $41.68, the middle ≈6,400 days net out to zero gain ($423.95 intermediate peak), while the worst 30 days draw value down to $7.83, illustrating how tail sessions dominate long-term return distributions. Data through 2026-10-02

[Ex-post attribution, not timing advice] Tracing $1 from 2000: the top 50 days propel capital to $41.68, the middle ≈6,400 days net out to zero gain ($423.95 intermediate peak), while the worst 30 days draw value down to $7.83, illustrating how tail sessions dominate long-term return distributions.

What this page answers

This static page is built to answer searches for Nasdaq 100 · Multiplicative Contribution by Extremes. It summarizes the live dataset behind the Nasdaq 100 Compounding: Magnified Impact of Tail Days panel and links to the full interactive chart.

[Ex-post attribution, not timing advice] Tracing $1 from 2000: the top 50 days propel capital to $41.68, the middle ≈6,400 days net out to zero gain ($423.95 intermediate peak), while the worst 30 days draw value down to $7.83, illustrating how tail sessions dominate long-term return distributions. The data is refreshed by the History of Market pipeline and published as a stable JSON endpoint for research, citation, and AI-agent use.

View the interactive chart Download raw JSON

Data & Source

GET /api/ndx/daily-extremes.json — Canonical dataset endpoint.

Exchange closing prices · Company filings · Robert Shiller · FRED · NBER.

FAQ

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History of Market combines public market and macro datasets — exchange closing prices, company filings, Robert Shiller, FRED, NBER, and the UBS Global Investment Returns Yearbook (Dimson–Marsh–Staunton). The exact endpoint for this panel is linked below.

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Daily-tier datasets refresh after the U.S. market close, with a broader weekly refresh on Sunday. The timestamp shown on this page comes from the JSON payload.

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